Traffic at the Edge of Chaos

Nagel, Kai and Rasmussen, Steen (1994) Traffic at the Edge of Chaos.
Published In: Artificial life IV : proceedings of the fourth International Workshop on the Synthesis and Simulation of Living Systems MIT Press 1994, pp. 222-235.


We use a very simple description of human driving behaviour to simulate traffic. The regime of maximum vehicle flow in a closed system shows near-critical behaviour, and as a result a sharp decrease of the predictability of travel time. Since Advanced Traffic Management Systems (ATMSs) tend to drive larger parts of the transportation system towards this regime of maximum flow, we argue that in consequence the traffic system as a whole will be driven closer to criticality, thus making predictions much harder. A simulation of a simplified transportation network supports our argument.

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Item Type: Proceedings article
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Divisions: Mathematical Institute
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    ZAIK Number: zpr94-157
    Depositing User: Archive Admin
    Date Deposited: 02 Apr 2001 00:00
    Last Modified: 19 Jan 2012 11:17